據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)5月21日倫敦報道，歐佩克曾表示，國際能源署（IEA）的一份報告建議，投資者不應(yīng)為新石油項目提供資金以抑制排放，如果IEA對此采取行動，可能導(dǎo)致油價波動。

IEA周二表示，如果全球希望在本世紀(jì)中葉實現(xiàn)凈零排放，投資者就不應(yīng)為新的石油、天然氣和煤炭供應(yīng)項目提供資金。這是該機構(gòu)迄今發(fā)出的最嚴(yán)厲的限制化石燃料的警告。

13個成員國擁有全球80%的原油儲備的歐佩克，其研究部門制作了一份關(guān)于IEA報告的內(nèi)部簡報文件，路透社(Reuters)看到了這份文件的副本。

歐佩克的報告稱，關(guān)于2021年后不需要新的油氣投資的說法，與IEA的其他報告中經(jīng)常表達的結(jié)論形成了鮮明對比，如果一些投資者效仿，這可能成為石油市場潛在不穩(wěn)定的來源。

歐佩克還表示，IEA報告中的一種情景可能會影響企業(yè)的投資方式，并限制石油需求。產(chǎn)油國集團目前預(yù)測，今年石油需求將強勁復(fù)蘇，并將持續(xù)增長到21世紀(jì)30年代。

歐佩克稱，盡管在假設(shè)和結(jié)果方面，NZE（凈零）情景過于雄心勃勃，但它肯定會影響投資決策，這可能會抑制對石油和天然氣等化石燃料的需求（增長），因為許多決策者和石油與天然氣公司 使用IEA的方案進行戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃。

歐佩克進一步指出，對于許多發(fā)展中國家來說，在沒有國際援助的情況下實現(xiàn)凈零排放的途徑并不明確，他們需要技術(shù)和財政支持才能實現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)。

歐佩克表示，如果沒有更大的國際合作，到2050年全球二氧化碳排放量將不會降至零。

郝芬 譯自 能源世界網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC says IEA net-zero pathway could add to oil-price volatility

OPEC has said that an IEA report suggesting that investors should not fund new oil projects to curb emissions could lead to oil-price volatility if it is acted on.

The International Energy Agency on Tuesday said investors should not fund new oil, gas and coal supply projects if the world wants to reach net zero emissions by mid-century, in its starkest warning yet to curb fossil fuels.

The research division at the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, whose 13 members sit on 80% of the world's crude oil reserves, produced an internal briefing document on the IEA's report, a copy of which was seen by Reuters.

"The claim that no new oil and gas investments are needed post-2021 stands in stark contrast with conclusions often expressed in other IEA reports and could be the source of potential instability in oil markets if followed by some investors," OPEC's report said.

OPEC also said a scenario in the IEA's report could affect how companies invest and limit demand for oil. The producer group currently forecasts oil demand will recover strongly this year and continue rising until the 2030s.

"While the NZE (net zero) Scenario seems overly ambitious in terms of assumptions and results, it will certainly influence investment decisions, which may curb demand (growth) for fossil fuels such as oil and gas, as many policymakers and oil & gas companies use the IEA's scenarios for their strategic planning," OPEC said.

OPEC made the further point that for many developing countries, the route to net-zero emissions without international help was not clear and they would need technical and financial support to get there.

"Without greater international cooperation, global CO2 emissions will not fall to net zero by 2050," OPEC said.

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