據(jù)離岸工程網(wǎng)站6月1日消息 因?qū)θ蜃畲笫拖M(fèi)國(guó)美國(guó)夏季駕車季的燃料需求前景的樂觀情緒升溫,油價(jià)周二上漲,布倫特原油價(jià)格突破70美元,創(chuàng)下3月份以來(lái)的最高點(diǎn)。
截至格林尼治時(shí)間6:10,8月布倫特原油期貨價(jià)格上漲94美分,至每桶70.26美元,漲幅1.4%。美國(guó)西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油7月期貨價(jià)格為每桶67.66美元,較上周五上漲1.34美元,漲幅2%,周一因美國(guó)公眾假期而無(wú)結(jié)算價(jià)。
布倫特原油稍早觸及70.34美元的日內(nèi)高點(diǎn),為3月8日以來(lái)的盤中最高價(jià)格。
ING Economics分析師周二在一份報(bào)告中表示:“盡管亞洲部分地區(qū)對(duì)與疫情相關(guān)的限制措施收緊表示擔(dān)憂,但市場(chǎng)似乎更關(guān)注美國(guó)和歐洲部分地區(qū)的積極需求。”
“在美國(guó),陣亡將士紀(jì)念日周末之后,夏季駕駛季節(jié)正式開始,我們已經(jīng)進(jìn)入這一時(shí)期,汽油庫(kù)存已經(jīng)呈下降趨勢(shì),距離每年這個(gè)時(shí)候的5年低點(diǎn)不遠(yuǎn)?!?/p>
追蹤公司GasBuddy表示,周日美國(guó)汽油需求較前四個(gè)周日平均水平躍升9.6%,為2019年夏季以來(lái)的最高周日需求。
不過,由于預(yù)計(jì)將有更多產(chǎn)出流入市場(chǎng),價(jià)格漲幅受到限制。
歐佩克消息人士稱,歐佩克+可能在周二的一次會(huì)議上同意繼續(xù)緩慢放寬供應(yīng)限制,因?yàn)槭蜕a(chǎn)商在預(yù)期的需求復(fù)蘇和產(chǎn)量可能增加之間取得平衡。
今年4月,歐佩克+決定從5月至7月向市場(chǎng)歸還210萬(wàn)桶/天的供應(yīng),因?yàn)樗A(yù)計(jì),盡管全球第三大石油消費(fèi)國(guó)印度的冠狀病毒病例激增,但全球需求仍將上升。
ING Economics分析師補(bǔ)充稱:“我們相信,市場(chǎng)將能夠消化這一新增供應(yīng),因此預(yù)計(jì)該集團(tuán)將確認(rèn)在未來(lái)2個(gè)月內(nèi)按計(jì)劃增加產(chǎn)量?!?/p>
吳恒磊 編譯自 離岸工程
原文如下:
Brent Reaches $70, Highest Since March
Oil prices rose on Tuesday, with Brent topping $70 and trading at its highest since March, as optimism grew over the fuel demand outlook during the summer driving season of the United States, the world's top oil consumer.
Brent crude futures for August gained 94 cents, or 1.4%, to $70.26 a barrel by 0610 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for July was at $67.66 a barrel, up $1.34, or 2% from Friday's close, with no settlement price for Monday due to a U.S. public holiday.
Brent earlier hit a session peak of $70.34, the highest intraday price since March 8.
"While there are concerns over tighter COVID-19 related restrictions across parts of Asia, the market appears to be more focused on the positive demand story from the U.S. and parts of Europe," analysts from ING Economics said in a note on Tuesday.
"In the U.S., the summer driving season officially got underway following the Memorial Day weekend, and we have entered this period with gasoline inventories already trending lower, and not too far from a 5-year low for this time of the year."
Tracking firm GasBuddy said Sunday's U.S. gasoline demand jumped 9.6% above the average of the previous four Sundays, the highest Sunday demand since the summer of 2019.
The price gains were capped, though, as more output is expected to hit the market.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies - known as OPEC+ - are likely to agree to continue to slowly ease supply curbs at a meeting on Tuesday, OPEC sources said, as producers balance an expected recovery in demand against a possible increase in output.
OPEC+ decided in April to return 2.1 million barrels per day (bpd) of supply to the market from May to July, as it anticipated global demand would rise despite surging coronavirus cases in India, the world's third-largest oil consumer.
"We believe that the market will be able to absorb this additional supply, and so would expect the group to confirm that they will increase output as planned over the next 2 months," ING Economics analysts added.
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