據ICIS-MRC網站6月28日莫斯科報道，據路透社報道，受全球制造業和貨運的強勁擴張以及主要經濟體逐漸重新開放的推動，全球石油消費量將在2022年第一季度恢復到大流行前的水平。

　　礦工、制造商、航運和卡車運輸公司以及私人駕車的消費量激增，預計將抵消客運航空檢疫限制導致的航空燃油消耗量的持續減少。

　　根據美國能源信息署 (EIA) 的數據顯示，預計到 2022 年 3 月，全球液體燃料日消耗量（包括生物燃料）將達到1.006 億桶。

　　這將是自疫情爆發以來，消費量首次超過2019年同期水平。

　　在2020年4月疫情最嚴重和封鎖最嚴重的時候，全球石油消費量下降了近20%，即2000萬桶/天之后，將在不到兩年的時間內反彈。經濟活動和石油消費的顯著復蘇主要是由于歐洲和北美迅速部署了有效疫苗以及和亞洲其他地區實行了嚴格的檢疫控制措施。

　　在較富裕的經濟體中，超低利率、史無前例的政府支出以及對企業和家庭的慷慨支持，也幫助石油市場的復蘇速度遠遠快于疫情最嚴重時的水平。

　　但在冠狀病毒爆發之前的五年中，全球消費量以略高于 1% 或每年略高于100 萬桶/天的年增長率增長。即使在預期的強勁反彈之后，預計到 2022 年底全球消費量仍將比疫情前的趨勢低2% 以上或200 萬桶/日。

　　郝芬 譯自 ICIS-MRC

　　原文如下：

　　Global crude oil consumption to return to pre-pandemic levels by Q1 2022

　　Global oil consumption is set to return to pre-pandemic levels by the first quarter of 2022, driven by a strong expansion in global manufacturing and freight transport as well as the gradual re-opening of major economies, reported Reuters.

　　Booming consumption from miners, manufacturers, shipping and trucking firms, as well as private motorists, is expected to offset the continued loss of jet fuel consumption from quarantine restrictions on passenger aviation.

　　Global liquids consumption (including biofuels) is forecast to reach 100.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

　　For the first time since the onset of the epidemic, consumption will surpass the level for the corresponding month in 2019.

　　Global consumption will have bounced back in less than two years, after falling by almost 20% or 20 million bpd at the worst point of the epidemic and lockdowns in April 2020. The remarkable recovery in economic activity and oil consumption is mostly the result of a rapid deployment of effective vaccines in Europe and North America and strict quarantine controls in other parts of Asia.

　　In wealthier economies, ultra-low interest rates, unprecedented government spending, and generous support for businesses and households have also helped heal the oil market far quicker than seemed likely at the height of the epidemic.

　　But in the five years before the coronavirus, global consumption was growing at an annual rate of just over 1% or a little over 1 million b/d per year. Even after the expected strong rebound, global consumption is still expected to be more than 2% or 2 million b/d below its pre-epidemic trend at the end of 2022.

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