據今日油價網站2月14日消息 根據美國能源信息管理署（EIA）周一發布的最新版鉆井產能報告，原油產量將于下月再次增加。

根據EIA的數據，美國產量最高的七個頁巖盆地的原油產量將在3月份增至870.7萬桶/日，比2月份的859.8萬桶/日增加10.9萬桶（1.3%），比1月份的數據增加27.1萬桶/日。

最大的增長預計出現在二疊紀盆地（3月份增加7.1萬桶/日）和鷹福特盆地（增加2.4萬桶/日）。

EIA鉆井產能報告還顯示，已鉆井但未完工的油井（DUC）數量再次減少。在1月份的報告中，EIA估計12月份的DUC數量已從11月份的4830個降至4616個。EIA的最新報告顯示，1月份的DUC數量進一步下降，共下降了191，至4466。

這與去年年初的7449個和2020年初的8547相比均有所下降。

一些人認為，石油市場可能會面臨艱難的未來，因為所有跡象表明，我們的未來將包括未來石油需求增長的增加，而石油和天然氣投資未能迅速反彈。

貝克休斯報告稱，新的鉆井活動正在上升，但石油公司似乎對完井而非鉆井更感興趣。在役石油導向鉆機的數量比去年增加了206部，雖然這是連續12個月增長，但活躍的鉆機數量仍比兩年前的水平少162部。

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價

原文如下：

U.S. DUC Count Drops 48% In Two Years

Crude oil production is set for another increase next month, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s latest edition of the Drilling Productivity Report released on Monday.

According to the EIA, crude oil production in the seven most prolific U.S. shale basins is set to increase to 8.707 million barrels per day in March—a 109,000 bpd increase (1.3%)from February’s 8.598 million bpd, and an increase of 271,000 bpd from January’s tally.

The largest increases are expected to be seen in the Permian basin (+71,000 bpd in March) and the Eagle Ford (+24,000 bpd). 

The EIA’s Drilling Productivity Report also showed another decrease in the number of Drilled but Uncompleted wells (DUCs). In January’s report, the EIA had estimated that the number of DUCs had fallen to 4,616 in December from 4,830 in November. The EIA’s current report shows that January’s DUC count has fallen even further, slipping 191 to 4,466. 

This is down from 7,449 DUCs at the beginning of last year, and 8,547 at the beginning of 2020.

Some have suggested that the oil markets could be in for hard times ahead, as all indications that our future will include increased future oil demand growth while oil and gas investments have failed to rebound as quickly.

New drilling acitivity as reported by Baker Hughes is on the upswing, but oil companies appaear to be significantly more interested in completing wells rather than drilling new ones. The number of active oil-directed drilling rigs has increased 206 over the last year. While this is an impressive 12-month gain, active rigs are still down 162 from the level seen two years ago.

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